What's ahead

So Barack Obama is without a shadow of doubt the Democratic nominee for president, the showdown for the fall is set McCain vs. Obama. I've heard people giving their predictions for the fall but that is extremely difficult since these races are so fluid, but I give it a try. This will be a close race, unless some unforeseen scandal erupts. Obama will do better then Kerry did in 04', I believe he will win Colorado, Iowa, New Mexico and maybe Nevada. The last two elections the key battleground states have been Florida and Ohio, I think that both the states will end up going for McCain, the new battle states will be Michigan (this state could make or break the election) and Wisconsin. Michigan hasn't gone Republican since Bush in 88' but most polls have McCain in a statistical dead heat with Obama. There also could be some animosity among Democrats over Obama not even putting his name on the ballot in Michigan during the primary. Although history doesn't look favorably towards McCain in Michigan if he can get a lot of independents and Hillary supporters to jump to his side he could bring Michigan into the red. Wisconsin only went to Kerry in 04' by 11,384 votes and Gore in 00' by 5,708 votes and most polls have Obama and McCain very close. McCain shouldn't stand a chance against Obama with the economy is bad shape, Bush's approval rating in the low 30's and party id. going overwhelmingly to the Democrats. but Obama in my opinion is a flawed inexperienced candidate that white rural voters and older voters will reject. Although more Americans identify as Democrats, that hasn't led to a Democratic presidential victory in 1972, 1980, 1984, 1988, or 2000 all years where more more people identified as Democrats. The problem is for Democrats is that the keep nominating flawed candidates like George McGovern, Walter Mondale, Michael Dukakis and now Barack Obama. This election will be a vital one for this nation and I think, and hope, that Americans won't elect the most liberal member of the US Senate who has little experience and the same leftist policy ideas that we have been hearing since the 60's over John McCain, but we will have to wait and see...